Note:The post below is a more technical update on the forecast and what we are working on behind the scenes. It is not designed to be an official forecast from the UF Weather Center, nor should it be treated as such. It is designed to be an avenue of communication among our team members around the clock.

Weak Front Approaching

Short Term: Southwesterly flow is moving warm, moist air into the region. Therefore it’s unseasonably warm once again this afternoon with highs topping out near 80. A few brief showers are possible before 4 pm, but I think chances are better to our north and east. Models are showing little to no coverage over Alachua County, hence pops only at 20%.

Lights winds and partly clear skies will lead to dense fog once again early Tuesday morning, primarily along inland areas.

The above average temperatures will continue Tuesday with highs near 80 and mostly sunny skies. Surface high pressure will be in place over north central Florida, so it’ll be a relatively nice day.

Wednesday: A weak cold front will be moving through the area. Models are currently showing a line of showers along the FL/GA border before daybreak Wednesday, but it falls apart.  Redevelopment will occur in the early afternoon hours (after 1pm) across north central Florida as the boundary sinks further south and daytime heating occurs.  A few scattered showers are possible through the late afternoon hours (before 7pm), then areas will clear from northwest to southeast as cooler, drier air begins to move in.  Highs will still be warmer than normal in the upper 70’s.

Thursday – Friday: The airmass behind the front will only bring seasonable highs and lows to the area.  High pressure will be centered over New England and onshore flow will redevelop on Saturday.

Long term: Temperatures will be above normal once again for the weekend and PWATs will gradually rise again. There’s a 20% chance for a few showers on Sunday ahead of another cold front that will be approaching.  Note: We should keep an eye on POPs this weekend.

Changes:

Tue am: 56 from 58

Tue pm: 80 from 81

Wed pm: 77 from 79

Thu am: 56 from 57

Fri am: 45 from 46

Fri pm: 68 from 69

Sat am: 54 from 55

Sat pm: 76 from 77

Sun pm 80 from 84