Note:The post below is a more technical update on the forecast and what we are working on behind the scenes. It is not designed to be an official forecast from the UF Weather Center, nor should it be treated as such. It is designed to be an avenue of communication among our team members around the clock.

Front Moves Through Wednesday

Surface high pressure over west central Florida and dry air aloft is giving us a beautiful Tuesday. However, we still have warm, moist southerly flow at the surface and it’s another unseasonably warm day. Highs will climb to near 80, but skies will remain mostly clear.

Fog will develop once again overnight, but I don’t expect it to be as dense or widespread as this morning. Low temperatures will be near 60 again as well. This morning’s low was 61.

Models are showing a line of showers near the FL/GA border early Wednesday morning ahead of the front. Some of these could impact the morning commute along our extreme northwest zones (Suwanee River Valley).  A few sprinkles are possible in Alachua County in the mid-morning hours, otherwise models have now consistently shown this initial rain dissipating and redeveloping over north central Florida at and after 1 pm. The weather service has also put this timing in their forecast.

Thursday – Friday: Temperatures will be near normal behind the front these two days with highs in the upper 60’s.  Low temps on Thur am will be in the mid 50’s and it’ll be noticeably colder on Friday morning with lows in the low to mid 40’s.

Saturday – Monday: Temps will be back in the upper 70’s Sat pm as the winds shift out of the SW, high pressure shifts into the Atlantic off the east coast, and onshore flow strengthens. There will still be enough dry air to keep pops nonexistent.
Sunday will be slightly warmer with highs near 80 and I kept 20% pops in due to 0.1 inch rain totals showing up on model runs. Similar pops on Monday ahead of the next front.

Changes to FE:

Thu am: 55 from 56

Fri am: 44 from 45

Sat pm: 77 from 76

Sun am: 60 from 59

Mon pm: 76 from 79