Category: Tropical Weather

StateRain-FPBS

Invest 99: Most Likely “Rain Without a Name”

Many meteorologists have dubbed the phrase “rain without a name” over the years, accounting for heavy rain that can occur from a tropical weather system even if it isn’t officially named. For some Floridians, this has happened twice already this summer. And that’s just what may happen with Invest 99, the disturbance the National Hurricane Center is monitoring over the southern Gulf...

TropicalOutlook-FPBS

Watching Gulf: Too Early for Specifics

A disorganized area of thunderstorms near the Yucatan peninsula is being closely monitored for possible tropical development in the coming days. If tropical development were to occur, forecast data suggests the system could potentially start to influence the weather pattern across The Sunshine State, largely in the form of an increase in rain chances, on Monday. While it’s too early...

TropicalHeadline-FPBS

Video: Development Possible in Gulf Next Week

The last six tropical storms to develop in the Atlantic Basin haven’t made it through the so-called El Niño barrier in the Caribbean. This is where upper level winds have been too strong to support upscale development or even passage of a storm. Two have tried (Danny, Erika), but the others haven’t even come close (Fred, Grace, Henri, Ida). As stated in yesterday’s State...

SetUp-FPBS

State of the 2015 Hurricane Season

The 2015 Hurricane Season is nearly two-thirds over, and judging by the number of storms alone, it’s on track to be a normal year.  Nine named storms have formed, and the 30-year average for an entire season is twelve.  However, a different measuring tool – accumulated cyclone energy (or ACE) – reveals that the year has been only 25% as active compared to normal. ACE takes into...

TropicalOutlook-FPBS

Ida Wandering, Watching Gulf Next Week

Tropical Storm Ida is lost at sea. Literally. Upper-level winds are too weak to steer it in any direction, so it’s likely to meander in the central Atlantic for days. Keeping with the trends of the past six tropical systems that have originated in this region, Ida will not be a threat to the United States and will struggle with...

NOAA image released September 5, showing above normal sea surface temperatures (red) across much of the Pacific Ocean.

Strong El Niño Almost Certain to Continue This Winter

We knew El Niño was coming, and on Thursday Mike Halpert, Deputy Director of NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, made it official. “2015’s El Niño now ranks third behind 1997 and 1985.” It was in the winter of 97-98 that 42 Floridians were killed by tornadoes and severe weather produced more than a half billion dollars in damage. Peter Wolf, Meteorologist...

StateRain-FPBS

Erika’s Rain Finally Pulling North Wednesday

Periods of sustained rainfall associated with the remnants of Tropical Storm Erika will likely hamper outdoor plans across extreme North Florida for one last day before more normal late-summer conditions return Thursday. Showers will develop in the early morning Wednesday between Tallahassee and the Nature Coast, moving north and eastward as the day progresses and reaching the Jacksonville area by...

StormFrequency-FPBS

Season’s Peak Nears, but Atlantic Should Stay Quiet

Rather than cleaning up from a hurricane this week, Floridians are gearing up for what will hopefully be a relaxing holiday weekend. The difference between the two outcomes was literally less than 200 miles. Chief of Forecast Operations at the National Hurricane Center James Franklin says what happened with former Tropical Storm Erika was not that unusual considering how far...

Erika Remnants-FPBS

Erika Not Gone; Heavy Rain Risk Near Nature Coast Tuesday

  The remnants of Tropical Storm Erika will bring gusty winds and periods of heavy rain to coastal regions of the eastern Panhandle and North Central Florida on Tuesday afternoon. As early as 10am, showers with embedded thunderstorms will push inland along the Gulf Coast as the remnant low moves northeastward. Rainfall totals of one to two inches with higher...