Category: Weather Whys

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Why Another [Winter] Warm Up is on the Way

The title of this story might be one we can repeat multiple times this winter.  Warmer than normal temperatures are expected in Florida for the next three months, largely because of a La Nina that has formed. That’s not to say there won’t be some cold spurts. Gainesville was climbing out of one Saturday. A nice warming trend has begun in...

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Relentless Heat to Continue Next 10 Days

Update: We made an error in how we interpreted the data from the North Carolina State Climate Office.  The heat index climatology we passed along is based on this image.  The units are not labeled and we assumed it was days.  The total counts are measured in hours, not days.     It’s been a hot summer in Gainesville, even by Florida standards. In fact,...

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Challenges with the Cutoffs

Gators like to wear “jorts”. That’s a fancier term (so they say) for cut-off jeans. While it may be a fashion statement on a tailgate, a “cut-off” is not something meteorologists want to see on a weather map.  This type of weather feature is a menace, often challenging to forecast because it’s removed (or cut off) from the jet stream,...

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Local Effects from El Niño Not Far Away

The 2015 El Niño is already the second strongest on record, and most meteorological modeling suggests the impacts are just weeks away. The weather phenomenon correlates strongly to a risk of heavy rain, an elevated threat of severe weather (including tornadoes), and sometimes dramatic temperatures swings. It may be hard to believe that all of these effects are connected to ocean temperatures thousands of...

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Coastal Storm in Carolinas Glances by North Florida Monday

It’s a swirl on satellite that looks like a hurricane.  But it’s not.  The damage it has caused in the Carolinas though, especially as it relates to inland and coastal flooding, resembles what is often left behind from a hurricane.  Thankfully it won’t be nearly as dramatic, but the back edge of this weather system will swing through North Florida Monday resulting...

The predominant weather pattern over the past month, leading to unusually hot and dry conditions over the Southeast and flooding rains over the southern plains.

Drought Worsens in Parts of North Florida

Update 6/25: The latest US Drought Monitor website has upgraded the drought to “severe” for portions of Bradford, Baker, Clay and Duval counties.  The area of abnormally dry and moderate drought conditions has also recently been expanded to include more of extreme north Florida and the First Coast.  Despite recent heavy rains near Gainesville, other areas to the north and...

Get A Plan

It’s Never Been Easier to Prepare for Hurricane Season

Signage is posted everywhere. Get A Plan.  It’s the state’s effort to encourage Floridians to prepare for the upcoming hurricane season. Emergency officials want have been training for weeks to ensure resilience before and after a storm. Although this years forecast is for a below-average season, FEMA Director Craig Fugate makes it clear, reminding us that Hurricane Sandy is a top...

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New Era in Hurricane Alerting Begins

The number one hurricane-related killer is water, not wind. A hurricane warning, however, has always been issued for the wind, not the water. This conflict of messaging has prompted the National Hurricane Center to re-think their products in recent years.  Social science research and upgrades in GIS technology have enabled them to better define where and when the water might be...