Tagged: severe

Severe Risk

Strong Storms Possible Thursday Afternoon

Strong storms possible from 2pm Thursday to 2 am Friday Main threats will be damaging winds up to 60 mph An isolated tornado cannot be ruled out A late season, strong cold front is set to arrive to North Florida Thursday. Unlike the front that moved through earlier this week, this front is stronger and will bring with it a...

Severe T-Storm Watch-FPBS-small

Severe T-Storm Watch until 5 pm

  THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL FLORIDA COASTAL WATERS * EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 950 AM UNTIL 500 PM EST. * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE… ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE A TORNADO OR TWO POSSIBLE SUMMARY…A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE EASTERN GULF...

I posted this overview map on Twitter early Tuesday morning and will update this post with a more detailed snowfall map as soon as I feel reasonably confident in the model data.

Major East Coast Storm, Severe Risk in Florida Friday

The first half of winter was anything but that in much of the eastern U.S. That’s about to change later this week as a major winter storm takes aim at the Mid-Atlantic states. The southern side of this storm could also trigger another round of severe weather in Florida on Friday. Even though it may be too early for specifics,...

Concern and questions over possible severe weather Friday

The Tuesday afternoon forecast discussion from NWS JAX was eye-catching. I was honestly a bit surprised to see it highlight the risk for severe weather three days in advance, especially considering there was no denoted risk from the SPC at the time. Wednesday morning’s discusion wasn’t as strongly worded, but still mentioned the risk. In light of what happened Saturday...

Marginal risk for severe weather; Above average heat continues

Daily chances for afternoon storms elevate the possibility for damaging winds, hail, and heavy downpours across the state. On Tuesday, multiple rounds of showers and thunderstorms are possible from the panhandle to central Florida. The strongest activity is forecast to be over highway 301, I-4, and west of I-95 during the early afternoon and early evening hours. Before showers and...

thunderstorm watch-WRUF

Severe Thunderstorm Watch for North Florida Until 9 PM

UPDATE 5:30 PM: Severe Thunderstorm Watch extended to include western portions of the area as a disturbance moves southeast from the panhandle. This disturbance is moving towards a rain-cooled air mass from earlier thunderstorm activity, which could weaken the line before it makes it south of I-10. If it does hold together, it would approach Lake City around 7 PM,...

WeatherTogether

Severe Storm Dumps Heavy Rain and Hail on Gainesville Monday

The warning was issued by the National Weather Service just minutes before 5:00, advising of possible hail and high winds from an approaching thunderstorm. By 5:30, the reports were rolling in to the UF Weather Center of penny to golf ball size hail and flooded streets.  A collection of the reports are listed below, followed by a screen grab of...

TStorm Watch-WRUF

Severe T-Storm Watch Until 6 pm

A Severe T-Storm Watch continues for all of North Florida until 6 pm.  As of 12:30 pm Monday afternoon, a line of thunderstorms with a history of 40 to 60 mph wind gusts that has produced damage in the panhandle was approaching the Nature Coast, moving east at 25 mph.  Estimated times of arrivals (of the strongest activity) are updated...

Local Severe Weather Risk Hasn’t Changed

Despite the removal of the “slight risk” from SPC to our market area (now “marginal”), on a smaller scale I believe nothing has changed in today’s setup.  Keep in mind, they are drawing larger scale areas with quantifiable numbers in mind on how many reports there will be over grid.  In fact, overnight model data actually trended in a more...

Threat Tracker map from WRUF Weather, showing where greatest risk for damaging wind and isolated tornadoes are.

Low Risk for Severe Weather Tuesday

  The storm system that will soak the state with heavy rain late Tuesday and early Wednesday could also trigger stronger thunderstorms.  These will only occur in North Florida, though, where there is sufficient daytime heating ahead of the front that is projected to stall Tuesday afternoon.  The risk is low and primarily restricted to areas near and south of...