Tuesday marked the historical peak of the Atlantic hurricane season, and we are monitoring three areas of interest for possible development. However, none of them are an immediate or significant threat to Florida.
We've included the official National Hurricane Center 5-day outlook in the section below, immediately followed by a summary of all three systems.
An area of low pressure moving through the southern Bahamas is likely to bring periods of heavy rain to portions of Florida by the end of the week. Forecasters at the National Hurricane Center consider the chances of tropical development to be “low”, and only after the disturbance moves through the Florida Straits and into the Gulf of Mexico this weekend. Regardless, a stream of tropical moisture on the system’s eastern side will likely be pulled across the peninsula and produce numerous rounds of rain, some of it possibly heavy.
A tropical wave in the central Atlantic is also unlikely to develop over the next five days, primarily due to strong winds aloft preventing it from becoming better organized. Forecast data suggests the disturbance will move into the eastern Caribbean this weekend and likely dissipate entirely.
A strong tropical wave is on track to move off the west coast of Africa Wednesday, and this one might have the greatest chance of developing. Several forecast models are signaling favorable atmospheric conditions over the Atlantic Ocean in about a week, or roughly the time the wave is likely to be approaching the Lesser Antilles. There is little to no credibility in forecasting the track or strength of tropical weather systems beyond 5 to 7 days, so all Floridians are encouraged to stay informed and check in with us often over the coming days.