Please pardon our very simple site (for now).  A more robust service is coming very soon!
New site coming soon!
Please pardon our dust.  A more robust site is coming very soon!
Please pardon our very simple site (for now).  A more robust service is coming very soon!


200 PM EDT Mon Jun 1 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Satellite imagery and radar observations from Mexico show that
the area of disturbed weather centered near the west coast of the
Yucatan peninsula is gradually becoming better organized. The
disturbance will move west-northwestward over the Bay of Campeche
later this afternoon where environmental conditions are expected
to be conducive to support development, and a tropical depression
or storm is likely to form tonight or Tuesday. The system is then
forecast to drift westward or west-southwestward over the southern
Bay of Campeche through the middle of the week. Interests
along the coast of the Bay of Campeche should monitor the progress
of this disturbance as tropical storm watches or warnings could be
required for a portion of this area later today or tonight.
Regardless of tropical cyclone formation, heavy rainfall is likely
to continue over portions of southern Mexico, Guatemala, El
Salvador, Belize, and western Honduras during the next few days.
For additional information on the rainfall threat, see products
from your national meteorological service.

Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.

Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

Forecaster Brown


200 PM EDT Mon Jun 1 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Satellite imagery and radar observations from Mexico show that
the area of disturbed weather centered near the west coast of the
Yucatan peninsula is gradually becoming better organized. The
disturbance will move west-northwestward over the Bay of Campeche
later this afternoon where environmental conditions are expected
to be conducive to support development, and a tropical depression
or storm is likely to form tonight or Tuesday. The system is then
forecast to drift westward or west-southwestward over the southern
Bay of Campeche through the middle of the week. Interests
along the coast of the Bay of Campeche should monitor the progress
of this disturbance as tropical storm watches or warnings could be
required for a portion of this area later today or tonight.
Regardless of tropical cyclone formation, heavy rainfall is likely
to continue over portions of southern Mexico, Guatemala, El
Salvador, Belize, and western Honduras during the next few days.
For additional information on the rainfall threat, see products
from your national meteorological service.

Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.

Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

Forecaster Brown


800 AM EDT Mon Jun 1 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A large area of disturbed weather, associated with the remnants of
eastern Pacific Tropical Storm Amanda, is located over the Yucatan
peninsula of Mexico. This disturbance is forecast to move
northwestward over the southeastern portion of the Bay of Campeche
later today or tonight where environmental conditions are expected
to be conducive to support development, and a new tropical
depression is likely to form within within the next day or so. The
system is then forecast to drift west or west-southwest over the
southern Bay of Campeche through the middle of the week. Interests
along the coast of the Bay of Campeche should monitor the progress
of this disturbance. Regardless of tropical cyclone formation,
heavy rainfall is likely to continue over portions of southern
Mexico, Guatemala, El Salvador, Belize, and western Honduras during
the next few days. For additional information on the rainfall
threat, see products from your national meteorological service.

Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.

Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

Today marks the first day of the Atlantic hurricane season, which
will run until November 30. Long-term averages for the number of
named storms, hurricanes, and major hurricanes are 12, 6, and 3,
respectively.

The list of names for 2020 is as follows:

Name Pronunciation Name Pronunciation
-------------------------------------------------------------
Arthur AR-thur Laura LOOR-ruh
Bertha BUR-thuh Marco MAR-koe
Cristobal krees-TOH-bahl Nana NA-na
Dolly DAH-lee Omar OH-mar
Edouard ed-DWARD Paulette pawl-LET
Fay fay Rene re-NAY
Gonzalo gohn-SAH-loh Sally SAL-ee
Hanna HAN-uh Teddy TEHD-ee
Isaias ees-ah-EE-ahs Vicky VIH-kee
Josephine JOH-seh-feen Wilfred WILL-fred
Kyle KY-ull

Two tropical storms, Arthur and Bertha, already formed this year in
May. The next named storm that develops this season will be
Cristobal.

This product, the Tropical Weather Outlook, briefly describes
significant areas of disturbed weather and their potential for
tropical cyclone formation during the next five days. The issuance
times of this product are 2 AM, 8 AM, 2 AM, and 8 PM EDT. After the
change to standard time in November, the issuance times are 1 AM,
7 AM, 1 PM, and 7 PM EST.

A Special Tropical Weather Outlook will be issued to provide
updates, as necessary, in between the regularly scheduled
issuances of the Tropical Weather Outlook. Special Tropical
Weather Outlooks will be issued under the same WMO and AWIPS
headers as the regular Tropical Weather Outlooks.

A standard package of products, consisting of the tropical cyclone
public advisory, the forecast/advisory, the cyclone discussion,
and a wind speed probability product, is issued every six hours
for all ongoing tropical cyclones. In addition, a special
advisory package may be issued at any time to advise of
significant unexpected changes or to modify watches or warnings.

The Tropical Cyclone Update is a brief statement to inform of
significant changes in a tropical cyclone or to post or cancel
watches or warnings. It is used in lieu of or to precede the
issuance of a special advisory package. Tropical Cyclone Updates,
which can be issued at any time, can be found under WMO header
WTNT61-65 KNHC, and under AWIPS header MIATCUAT1-5.

All National Hurricane Center text and graphical products are
available on the web at https://www.hurricanes.gov. You can also
interact with NHC on Facebook at https://www.facebook.com/NWSNHC.
Notifications are available via Twitter when select National
Hurricane Center products are issued. Information about our
Atlantic Twitter feed (@NHC_Atlantic) is available at
https://www.hurricanes.gov/twitter.shtml.

Forecaster Brown


200 AM EDT Mon Jun 1 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. The remnants of Eastern Pacific Tropical Storm Amanda are currently
located inland near the Guatemala-Yucatan Border. This large
disturbance is forecast to move slowly northward this morning,
followed by a northwestward motion later today, and the center of
the low pressure system could emerge over the southeastern Bay
of Campeche by this evening. If the remnants move back over water,
environmental conditions appear conducive to support some
development, and a new tropical depression could form while the
system moves little through the middle of this week. Regardless of
tropical cyclone formation, heavy rainfall is likely to continue
over portions of southern Mexico, Guatemala, El Salvador, Belize,
and western Honduras during the next few days. For additional
information on the rainfall threat, see products from your national
meteorological service.

Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.

Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

Today marks the first day of the Atlantic hurricane season, which
will run until November 30. Long-term averages for the number of
named storms, hurricanes, and major hurricanes are 12, 6, and 3,
respectively.

The list of names for 2020 is as follows:

Name Pronunciation Name Pronunciation
-------------------------------------------------------------
Arthur AR-thur Laura LOOR-ruh
Bertha BUR-thuh Marco MAR-koe
Cristobal krees-TOH-bahl Nana NA-na
Dolly DAH-lee Omar OH-mar
Edouard ed-DWARD Paulette pawl-LET
Fay fay Rene re-NAY
Gonzalo gohn-SAH-loh Sally SAL-ee
Hanna HAN-uh Teddy TEHD-ee
Isaias ees-ah-EE-ahs Vicky VIH-kee
Josephine JOH-seh-feen Wilfred WILL-fred
Kyle KY-ull

Two tropical storms, Arthur and Bertha, already formed this year in
May. The next named storm that develops this season will be
Cristobal.

This product, the Tropical Weather Outlook, briefly describes
significant areas of disturbed weather and their potential for
tropical cyclone formation during the next five days. The issuance
times of this product are 2 AM, 8 AM, 2 AM, and 8 PM EDT. After the
change to standard time in November, the issuance times are 1 AM,
7 AM, 1 PM, and 7 PM EST.

A Special Tropical Weather Outlook will be issued to provide
updates, as necessary, in between the regularly scheduled
issuances of the Tropical Weather Outlook. Special Tropical
Weather Outlooks will be issued under the same WMO and AWIPS
headers as the regular Tropical Weather Outlooks.

A standard package of products, consisting of the tropical cyclone
public advisory, the forecast/advisory, the cyclone discussion,
and a wind speed probability product, is issued every six hours
for all ongoing tropical cyclones. In addition, a special
advisory package may be issued at any time to advise of
significant unexpected changes or to modify watches or warnings.

The Tropical Cyclone Update is a brief statement to inform of
significant changes in a tropical cyclone or to post or cancel
watches or warnings. It is used in lieu of or to precede the
issuance of a special advisory package. Tropical Cyclone Updates,
which can be issued at any time, can be found under WMO header
WTNT61-65 KNHC, and under AWIPS header MIATCUAT1-5.

All National Hurricane Center text and graphical products are
available on the web at https://www.hurricanes.gov. You can also
interact with NHC on Facebook at https://www.facebook.com/NWSNHC.
Notifications are available via Twitter when select National
Hurricane Center products are issued. Information about our
Atlantic Twitter feed (@NHC_Atlantic) is available at
https://www.hurricanes.gov/twitter.shtml.

Forecaster Stewart


725 AM EDT Wed May 27 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Special Tropical Weather Outlook issued to discuss the area of low
pressure near the southeast U.S. coast.

Radar imagery indicates that the area of disturbed weather located
just offshore the South Carolina Coast has become significantly
better organized over the past few hours. Reports from an offshore
buoy are showing that this system is producing tropical-storm-force
winds. If these development trends continue, then this system
is likely to become a tropical storm before it moves inland later
today.

Heavy rainfall could cause flash flooding over portions of the
Carolinas today. Gusty winds could also produce rough marine
conditions and life-threatening surf and rip currents along the
coasts of Georgia and the Carolinas through today.

1. For additional information, see products from your local National
Weather Service office. The next Special Tropical Weather Outlook
on this system will be issued by 3PM EDT Wednesday, or earlier if
necessary.

Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.

Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

Forecaster Latto


200 PM EDT Sat May 16 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Special Tropical Weather Outlook issued to discuss the potential
for tropical or subtropical development off the east coast of
Florida.

1. Data from the Air Force Hurricane Hunters and satellite images
indicate that the low pressure system located just off the coast of
east-central Florida has become better defined today. In addition,
the associated showers and thunderstorms continue to gradually
organize. If these trends continues, advisories will likely be
initiated on this system as a tropical or subtropical depression
later today. Later in the weekend and early next week, the system
is expected to move generally northeastward over the western
Atlantic near or east of the Carolinas.

The system will continue to bring gusty winds and locally heavy
rains across portions of east-central Florida through tonight.
Interests near the North Carolina coast should closely monitor the
progress of this system, as it could produce gusty winds and heavy
rains there on Monday, and a tropical storm watch will likely be
issued for that area later today. In addition, hazardous marine
conditions will spread northward during the next few days, likely
causing dangerous surf and rip currents along much of the southeast
and mid-Atlantic coasts of the U.S. See products from your local
National Weather Service office for more details. Another Air Force
Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate the
system this evening. The next Special Tropical Weather Outlook on
this system will be issued by 9 PM EDT today, or earlier if needed.

Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent.

Formation chance through 5 days...high...near 100 percent.

Forecaster Cangialosi


200 PM EDT Sat May 16 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Special Tropical Weather Outlook issued to discuss the potential
for tropical or subtropical development off the east coast of
Florida.

1. Data from the Air Force Hurricane Hunters and satellite images
indicate that the low pressure system located just off the coast of
east-central Florida has become better defined today. In addition,
the associated showers and thunderstorms continue to gradually
organize. If these trends continues, advisories will likely be
initiated on this system as a tropical or subtropical depression
later today. Later in the weekend and early next week, the system
is expected to move generally northeastward over the western
Atlantic near or east of the Carolinas.

The system will continue to bring gusty winds and locally heavy
rains across portions of east-central Florida through tonight.
Interests near the North Carolina coast should closely monitor the
progress of this system, as it could produce gusty winds and heavy
rains there on Monday, and a tropical storm watch will likely be
issued for that area later today. In addition, hazardous marine
conditions will spread northward during the next few days, likely
causing dangerous surf and rip currents along much of the southeast
and mid-Atlantic coasts of the U.S. See products from your local
National Weather Service office for more details. Another Air Force
Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate the
system this evening. The next Special Tropical Weather Outlook on
this system will be issued by 9 PM EDT today, or earlier if needed.

Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent.

Formation chance through 5 days...high...near 100 percent.

Forecaster Cangialosi


200 PM EDT Sat May 16 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Special Tropical Weather Outlook issued to discuss the potential
for tropical or subtropical development off the east coast of
Florida.

1. Data from the Air Force Hurricane Hunters and satellite images
indicate that the low pressure system located just off the coast of
east-central Florida has become better defined today. In addition,
the associated showers and thunderstorms continue to gradually
organize. If these trends continues, advisories will likely be
initiated on this system as a tropical or subtropical depression
later today. Later in the weekend and early next week, the system
is expected to move generally northeastward over the western
Atlantic near or east of the Carolinas.

The system will continue to bring gusty winds and locally heavy
rains across portions of east-central Florida through tonight.
Interests near the North Carolina coast should closely monitor the
progress of this system, as it could produce gusty winds and heavy
rains there on Monday, and a tropical storm watch will likely be
issued for that area later today. In addition, hazardous marine
conditions will spread northward during the next few days, likely
causing dangerous surf and rip currents along much of the southeast
and mid-Atlantic coasts of the U.S. See products from your local
National Weather Service office for more details. Another Air Force
Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate the
system this evening. The next Special Tropical Weather Outlook on
this system will be issued by 9 PM EDT today, or earlier if needed.

Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent.

Formation chance through 5 days...high...near 100 percent.

Forecaster Cangialosi


810 AM EDT Sat May 16 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Special Tropical Weather Outlook issued to discuss the potential
for tropical or subtropical development off the east coast of
Florida.

1. An area of low pressure located just offshore of the southeast
coast of Florida continues to produce shower activity and gusty
winds from portions of southeast and east-central Florida
eastward across the northwestern Bahamas and the adjacent Atlantic
waters. Satellite images and surface observations indicate that the
low is gradually becoming better defined, but the associated showers
and thunderstorms remain disorganized. Continued gradual
development is expected, and the system is likely to become a
tropical or subtropical depression or storm later today or tonight
while it moves north-northeastward over the Atlantic waters east of
Florida. Later in the weekend and early next week, the system is
expected to move generally northeastward over the western Atlantic
near or east of the Carolinas.

Regardless of development, the disturbance will continue to bring
heavy rainfall and gusty winds across portions of east-central
Florida and the northwestern Bahamas through today. In addition,
hazardous marine conditions will spread northward during the next
few days, likely causing dangerous surf and rip currents along
much of the southeast and mid-Atlantic coasts of the U.S. See
products from your local weather office for more details. An Air
Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is currently enroute to
investigate the disturbance. The next Special Tropical Weather
Outlook on this system will be issued by 3 PM EDT today, or earlier
if needed.

Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.

Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

Forecaster Cangialosi


200 AM EDT Sat May 16 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Special Tropical Weather Outlook issued to discuss the potential
for tropical or subtropical development off the east coast of
Florida.

A broad area of low pressure located near the southeast coast of
Florida continues to produce disorganized shower activity and gusty
winds from portions of southern Florida and the northwestern Bahamas
northeastward over the adjacent Atlantic waters. Gradual
development is still expected, and the system is likely to become a
tropical or subtropical depression or storm later today while it
passes the northwestern Bahamas and moves north-northeastward over
the Atlantic waters east of Florida. Later in the weekend and early
next week, the system is expected to move generally northeastward
over the western Atlantic east of the Carolinas.

1. Regardless of development, the disturbance will continue to bring
heavy rainfall and gusty winds across portions of southeastern
Florida and the northwestern Bahamas through today. In addition,
hazardous marine conditions will continue off the Florida east
coast and in the Bahamas, where Gale Warnings are currently in
effect. Dangerous surf conditions and rip currents are also
possible along portions of the southeast U.S. coast this weekend and
early next week. See products from your local weather office and
High Seas Forecasts for more details. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane
Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate the disturbance this
morning. The next Special Tropical Weather Outlook on this system
will be issued by 9 AM EDT Saturday morning, or earlier if needed.

Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.

Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and
available on the Web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml.

Forecaster Pasch

_
_
_

UF Media Properties

1885 Stadium Road

PO Box 118400

Gainesville, FL 32611

 

(352) 392-5551

UF Media Properties

1885 Stadium Road

PO Box 118400

Gainesville, FL 32611

 

(352) 392-5551

© 2019 UF College of Journalism and Communications 
linkedin facebook pinterest youtube rss twitter instagram facebook-blank rss-blank linkedin-blank pinterest youtube twitter instagram