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Please pardon our dust.  A more robust site is coming very soon!
Please pardon our very simple site (for now).  A more robust service is coming very soon!

700 PM EST Mon Nov 18 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: 1. A broad area of low pressure located about 250 miles east-northeast of the northern Leeward Islands has become better defined during the past several hours. The associated shower and thunderstorm activity is also beginning to show signs of organization. Additional development is possible and a tropical or subtropical depression could form during the next day or two while it moves northwestward and then northward over the open Atlantic. The low is forecast to interact with a frontal system by midweek and further development is unlikely after that time. For more information, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

Forecaster Zelinsky
100 PM EST Mon Nov 18 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: 1. A broad area of low pressure located about 250 miles east-northeast of the northern Leeward Islands is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms and winds of 30 to 35 mph on its northeastern side. Some gradual development of this system is expected, and a tropical or subtropical depression could form during the next couple of days while it moves northwestward and then northward over the open Atlantic. In a couple of days, upper-level winds are expected to become less conducive and the disturbance is forecast to merge with a frontal system after midweek, so additional development is not expected after that time. For more information, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

Forecaster Latto
700 AM EST Mon Nov 18 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: 1. A broad area of low pressure located about 350 miles east-northeast of the northern Leeward Islands is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms with winds of around 30 mph on its northeast side. Some gradual development of this system is expected, and a tropical or subtropical depression could form during the next couple of days while it moves northwestward and then northward over the open Atlantic. After that time, upper-level winds are expected to become less conducive and the disturbance is forecast to merge with a frontal system after midweek, so additional development is not expected. For more information, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

Forecaster Latto
100 AM EST Mon Nov 18 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: 1. A broad area of low pressure located about 450 miles east-northeast of the northern Leeward Islands is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms with winds of around 30 mph on its northeast side. Some gradual development of this system is expected, and a tropical or subtropical depression could form during the next couple of days while it moves northwestward and then northward over the open Atlantic. After that time, upper-level winds are expected to become less conducive and the disturbance is forecast to merge with a frontal system after midweek, so additional development is not expected. For more information, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

Forecaster Brennan
700 PM EST Sun Nov 17 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: 1. A broad area of low pressure about 500 miles east-northeast of the northern Leeward Islands is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms and strong winds on its northeast side. Gradual development of this system is possible, and a tropical or subtropical depression could form during the next two or three days while it moves northwestward and then northward over the open Atlantic. The disturbance is forecast to merge with a frontal system after midweek and further development is not expected by that time. For more information on this system, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

Forecaster Cangialosi
100 PM EST Sun Nov 17 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: 1. A broad area of low pressure appears to developing several hundred miles east of the northern Leeward Islands. Gradual development of this system is possible, and a tropical or subtropical depression could form during the next few days while it moves northwestward and then northward over the open Atlantic. The disturbance is forecast to merge with a frontal system after midweek and further development is not expected after that time.
Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

Forecaster Latto
700 AM EST Sun Nov 17 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: 1. A large area of disorganized cloudiness and thunderstorms located over the central Atlantic Ocean several hundred miles east of the northern Leeward Islands is associated with an upper-level low and surface trough. Some slow development of this system is possible during the next few days while it moves northwestward and then northward over the open Atlantic. The disturbance is forecast to merge with a frontal system after midweek and further development is not expected after that time.
Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

Forecaster Latto
100 AM EST Sun Nov 17 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: 1. A large area of disorganized cloudiness and thunderstorms located over the central Atlantic Ocean several hundred miles east of the northern Leeward Islands is associated with an upper-level low and surface trough. Some slow development of this system is possible during the next few days while it moves northwestward and then northward over the open Atlantic. The disturbance is forecast to merge with a frontal system after midweek and further development is not expected after that time.
Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

Forecaster Brown
700 PM EST Sat Nov 16 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: 1. A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms located over the central Atlantic Ocean several hundred miles east of the northern Leeward Islands is associated with an upper-level low and surface trough. Some slow development of this system is possible during the next few days while it moves northwestward and then northward over the open Atlantic. The disturbance is forecast to merge with a frontal system late next week and further development is not expected after that time.
Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Forecaster Cangialosi
100 PM EST Sat Nov 16 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: 1. An area of low pressure is expected to form a few hundred miles northeast of the Leeward Islands late this weekend or early next week. Some development is possible thereafter while the system moves northwestward and then northward over the open Atlantic. The disturbance is forecast to merge with a frontal system later next week and further development is unlikely after that time.
Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Forecaster Zelinsky
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UF Media Properties

1885 Stadium Road

PO Box 118400

Gainesville, FL 32611

 

(352) 392-5551

UF Media Properties

1885 Stadium Road

PO Box 118400

Gainesville, FL 32611

 

(352) 392-5551

© 2019 UF College of Journalism and Communications 
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