Please pardon our very simple site (for now).  A more robust service is coming very soon!
New site coming soon!
Please pardon our dust.  A more robust site is coming very soon!
Please pardon our very simple site (for now).  A more robust service is coming very soon!

700 PM EST Mon Nov 18 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: 1. A broad area of low pressure located about 250 miles east-northeast of the northern Leeward Islands has become better defined during the past several hours. The associated shower and thunderstorm activity is also beginning to show signs of organization. Additional development is possible and a tropical or subtropical depression could form during the next day or two while it moves northwestward and then northward over the open Atlantic. The low is forecast to interact with a frontal system by midweek and further development is unlikely after that time. For more information, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

Forecaster Zelinsky
100 PM EST Mon Nov 18 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: 1. A broad area of low pressure located about 250 miles east-northeast of the northern Leeward Islands is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms and winds of 30 to 35 mph on its northeastern side. Some gradual development of this system is expected, and a tropical or subtropical depression could form during the next couple of days while it moves northwestward and then northward over the open Atlantic. In a couple of days, upper-level winds are expected to become less conducive and the disturbance is forecast to merge with a frontal system after midweek, so additional development is not expected after that time. For more information, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

Forecaster Latto
700 AM EST Mon Nov 18 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: 1. A broad area of low pressure located about 350 miles east-northeast of the northern Leeward Islands is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms with winds of around 30 mph on its northeast side. Some gradual development of this system is expected, and a tropical or subtropical depression could form during the next couple of days while it moves northwestward and then northward over the open Atlantic. After that time, upper-level winds are expected to become less conducive and the disturbance is forecast to merge with a frontal system after midweek, so additional development is not expected. For more information, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

Forecaster Latto
100 AM EST Mon Nov 18 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: 1. A broad area of low pressure located about 450 miles east-northeast of the northern Leeward Islands is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms with winds of around 30 mph on its northeast side. Some gradual development of this system is expected, and a tropical or subtropical depression could form during the next couple of days while it moves northwestward and then northward over the open Atlantic. After that time, upper-level winds are expected to become less conducive and the disturbance is forecast to merge with a frontal system after midweek, so additional development is not expected. For more information, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

Forecaster Brennan
700 PM EST Sun Nov 17 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: 1. A broad area of low pressure about 500 miles east-northeast of the northern Leeward Islands is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms and strong winds on its northeast side. Gradual development of this system is possible, and a tropical or subtropical depression could form during the next two or three days while it moves northwestward and then northward over the open Atlantic. The disturbance is forecast to merge with a frontal system after midweek and further development is not expected by that time. For more information on this system, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

Forecaster Cangialosi
100 PM EST Sun Nov 17 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: 1. A broad area of low pressure appears to developing several hundred miles east of the northern Leeward Islands. Gradual development of this system is possible, and a tropical or subtropical depression could form during the next few days while it moves northwestward and then northward over the open Atlantic. The disturbance is forecast to merge with a frontal system after midweek and further development is not expected after that time.
Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

Forecaster Latto
800 AM EDT Wed Oct 30 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: 1. Shower activity associated with a non-tropical low pressure system located several hundred miles west of the westernmost Azores has become better organized this morning. Some additional development is possible and it could become a short-lived subtropical cyclone later today or tonight. The system will likely move over colder waters on Thursday and further development is unlikely after that time. The low is producing gale-force winds and these winds are forecast to continue today, regardless of development. For more information on this system, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php.

Forecaster Zelinsky
800 PM EDT Wed Oct 16 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: 1. Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a broad area of low pressure located over the Bay of Campeche has increased during the past several hours. This system is forecast to move northward and then northeastward across the western and central Gulf of Mexico during the next couple of days and it could become a tropical or subtropical cyclone during that time. Regardless of development, the low could produce gusty winds and rough surf when it nears the northern Gulf Coast on Friday and Saturday. Heavy rainfall is also possible across portions of the southeast U.S. late this week and this weekend. For more information about marine hazards while the low moves across the Gulf of Mexico during the next couple of days, see products issued by the Tropical Analysis and Forecast Branch of the National Hurricane Center. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system Thursday afternoon, if necessary.
Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php Offshore Waters Forecasts for the Gulf of Mexico issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header MIAOFFNT4, WMO header FZNT24 KNHC, and online at www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIAOFFNT4.shtml

Forecaster Zelinsky
200 PM EDT Wed Oct 16 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: 1. A broad area of low pressure located just offshore of the coast of southern Mexico, in the Bay of Campeche, is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Gradual development is possible, and a tropical or subtropical cyclone could form late this week over the western or central Gulf of Mexico while the system is moving generally northeastward. Regardless of development, this system could produce gusty winds, rainfall, and rough surf along portions of the northern Gulf Coast Friday and Saturday. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system Thursday afternoon, if necessary.
Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

Forecaster Roberts
800 AM EDT Wed Oct 16 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center has issued the last advisory on Tropical Depression Fifteen, which has degenerated into a trough of low pressure near the northern Cabo Verde Islands. 1. A trough of low pressure located just offshore of the coast of southern Mexico, in the Bay of Campeche, is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Gradual development is possible, and a tropical or subtropical cyclone could form late this week over the western or central Gulf of Mexico while the system is moving generally northeastward. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system this afternoon, if necessary.
Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

Forecaster Roberts
_
_
_

UF Media Properties

1885 Stadium Road

PO Box 118400

Gainesville, FL 32611

 

(352) 392-5551

UF Media Properties

1885 Stadium Road

PO Box 118400

Gainesville, FL 32611

 

(352) 392-5551

© 2019 UF College of Journalism and Communications 
linkedin facebook pinterest youtube rss twitter instagram facebook-blank rss-blank linkedin-blank pinterest youtube twitter instagram