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700 PM EST Mon Nov 18 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A broad area of low pressure located about 250 miles east-northeast
of the northern Leeward Islands has become better defined during the
past several hours. The associated shower and thunderstorm activity
is also beginning to show signs of organization. Additional
development is possible and a tropical or subtropical depression
could form during the next day or two while it moves northwestward
and then northward over the open Atlantic. The low is forecast to
interact with a frontal system by midweek and further development is
unlikely after that time. For more information, see High Seas
Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.

Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.

Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and
online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

Forecaster Zelinsky


100 PM EST Mon Nov 18 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A broad area of low pressure located about 250 miles east-northeast
of the northern Leeward Islands is producing disorganized showers
and thunderstorms and winds of 30 to 35 mph on its northeastern
side. Some gradual development of this system is expected, and a
tropical or subtropical depression could form during the next couple
of days while it moves northwestward and then northward over the
open Atlantic. In a couple of days, upper-level winds are expected
to become less conducive and the disturbance is forecast to merge
with a frontal system after midweek, so additional development is
not expected after that time. For more information, see High Seas
Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.

Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.

Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and
online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

Forecaster Latto


700 AM EST Mon Nov 18 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A broad area of low pressure located about 350 miles east-northeast
of the northern Leeward Islands is producing disorganized showers
and thunderstorms with winds of around 30 mph on its northeast side.
Some gradual development of this system is expected, and a tropical
or subtropical depression could form during the next couple of days
while it moves northwestward and then northward over the open
Atlantic. After that time, upper-level winds are expected to become
less conducive and the disturbance is forecast to merge with a
frontal system after midweek, so additional development is not
expected. For more information, see High Seas Forecasts issued by
the National Weather Service.

Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.

Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and
online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

Forecaster Latto


100 AM EST Mon Nov 18 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A broad area of low pressure located about 450 miles east-northeast
of the northern Leeward Islands is producing disorganized showers
and thunderstorms with winds of around 30 mph on its northeast side.
Some gradual development of this system is expected, and a tropical
or subtropical depression could form during the next couple of days
while it moves northwestward and then northward over the open
Atlantic. After that time, upper-level winds are expected to become
less conducive and the disturbance is forecast to merge with a
frontal system after midweek, so additional development is not
expected. For more information, see High Seas Forecasts issued by
the National Weather Service.

Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.

Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and
online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

Forecaster Brennan


700 PM EST Sun Nov 17 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A broad area of low pressure about 500 miles east-northeast of the
northern Leeward Islands is producing disorganized showers and
thunderstorms and strong winds on its northeast side. Gradual
development of this system is possible, and a tropical or
subtropical depression could form during the next two or three days
while it moves northwestward and then northward over the open
Atlantic. The disturbance is forecast to merge with a frontal
system after midweek and further development is not expected by that
time. For more information on this system, see High Seas Forecasts
issued by the National Weather Service.

Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.

Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01
KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

Forecaster Cangialosi


100 PM EST Sun Nov 17 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A broad area of low pressure appears to developing several hundred
miles east of the northern Leeward Islands. Gradual development of
this system is possible, and a tropical or subtropical depression
could form during the next few days while it moves northwestward and
then northward over the open Atlantic. The disturbance is forecast
to merge with a frontal system after midweek and further development
is not expected after that time.

Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.

Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

Forecaster Latto


800 AM EDT Wed Oct 30 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Shower activity associated with a non-tropical low pressure system
located several hundred miles west of the westernmost Azores has
become better organized this morning. Some additional development is
possible and it could become a short-lived subtropical cyclone later
today or tonight. The system will likely move over colder waters on
Thursday and further development is unlikely after that time. The
low is producing gale-force winds and these winds are forecast to
continue today, regardless of development. For more information on
this system, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather
Service.

Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.

Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and
online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php.

Forecaster Zelinsky


800 PM EDT Wed Oct 16 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a broad area of
low pressure located over the Bay of Campeche has increased during
the past several hours. This system is forecast to move northward
and then northeastward across the western and central Gulf of
Mexico during the next couple of days and it could become a tropical
or subtropical cyclone during that time. Regardless of development,
the low could produce gusty winds and rough surf when it nears the
northern Gulf Coast on Friday and Saturday. Heavy rainfall is also
possible across portions of the southeast U.S. late this week and
this weekend. For more information about marine hazards while the
low moves across the Gulf of Mexico during the next couple of days,
see products issued by the Tropical Analysis and Forecast Branch of
the National Hurricane Center. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance
aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system Thursday afternoon,
if necessary.

Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.

Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent.

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01
KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

Offshore Waters Forecasts for the Gulf of Mexico issued by the
National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header MIAOFFNT4,
WMO header FZNT24 KNHC, and online at
www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIAOFFNT4.shtml

Forecaster Zelinsky


200 PM EDT Wed Oct 16 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A broad area of low pressure located just offshore of the coast of
southern Mexico, in the Bay of Campeche, is producing disorganized
showers and thunderstorms. Gradual development is possible, and a
tropical or subtropical cyclone could form late this week over the
western or central Gulf of Mexico while the system is moving
generally northeastward. Regardless of development, this system
could produce gusty winds, rainfall, and rough surf along portions
of the northern Gulf Coast Friday and Saturday. An Air Force
Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the
system Thursday afternoon, if necessary.

Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.

Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

Forecaster Roberts


800 AM EDT Wed Oct 16 2019

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center has issued the last advisory on
Tropical Depression Fifteen, which has degenerated into a trough of
low pressure near the northern Cabo Verde Islands.

1. A trough of low pressure located just offshore of the coast of
southern Mexico, in the Bay of Campeche, is producing disorganized
showers and thunderstorms. Gradual development is possible, and a
tropical or subtropical cyclone could form late this week over the
western or central Gulf of Mexico while the system is moving
generally northeastward. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance
aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system this afternoon, if
necessary.

Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.

Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

Forecaster Roberts

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UF Media Properties

1885 Stadium Road

PO Box 118400

Gainesville, FL 32611

 

(352) 392-5551

UF Media Properties

1885 Stadium Road

PO Box 118400

Gainesville, FL 32611

 

(352) 392-5551

© 2019 UF College of Journalism and Communications 
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