Please pardon our very simple site (for now).  A more robust service is coming very soon!
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Please pardon our dust.  A more robust site is coming very soon!
Please pardon our very simple site (for now).  A more robust service is coming very soon!

<!-- wp:oxygen-vsb/ovsb-table-of-contents {"text_block-6-261074_string":"u003cdivu003e
LOCATION...19.5N 92.6W
ABOUT 140 MI...225 KM W OF CAMPECHE MEXICO
ABOUT 150 MI...240 KM NE OF COATZACOALCOS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES

u0026nbsp;u003cbru003eu003c/divu003e"} /-->

<!-- wp:oxygen-vsb/ovsb-section-w-text {"headline-4-253470_string":"STORM SUMMARY","text_block-3-253470_string":" At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Three was located near latitude 19.5 North, longitude 92.6 West. The depression is moving toward the west near 3 mph (6 km/h). The depression is forecast to move slowly southwestward or southward this afternoon and tonight, and meander over the southern Bay of Campeche through late Wednesday. On the forecast track, the center of the cyclone is forecast to be near the coast of the southern Bay of Campeche tonight through Thursday. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours, and the depression is likely to become a tropical storm today.

The minimum central pressure reported by an Air Force Hurricane Hunter plane is 1005 mb (29.68 inches). "} /-->

<!-- wp:oxygen-vsb/ovsb-section-w-text {"headline-4-253470_string":"WATCHES AND WARNINGS","text_block-3-253470_string":"
WHAT'S NEW:

None.

SUMMARY OF ALERTS:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
- Campeche to Puerto de Veracruz

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the next within 24 to 36 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. "} /-->

<!-- wp:oxygen-vsb/ovsb-section-w-text {"headline-4-253470_string":"STORM HAZARDS","text_block-3-253470_string":" Key messages for Tropical Depression Three can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3, WMO header WTNT43 KNHC, and on the web at https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT3.shtml RAINFALL: [TOP] Tropical Depression Three is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 10 to 20 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 25 inches over parts of the Mexican states of Tabasco, Veracruz, and Campeche. The depression is also expected to produce total rain accumulations of 10 to 15 inches over northern Chiapas and other Mexican states, Quintana Roo and Yucatan. Additional rainfall of 10 to 15 inches, with isolated amounts of 25 inches is expected along the Pacific coasts of Chiapas, Guatemala, and El Salvador. Some of these Pacific locations received 20 inches of rain over the weekend, and storm total amounts of 35 inches are possible. Rainfall in all of these areas may produce life-threatening flash floods and mudslides. WIND: [TOP] Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the coast within the warning area tonight. "} /-->

<!-- wp:oxygen-vsb/ovsb-section-w-text {"headline-4-253470_string":"NEXT ADVISORY","text_block-3-253470_string":"
Next intermediate advisory at 100 PM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 400 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Pasch

"} /-->

<!-- wp:oxygen-vsb/ovsb-table-of-contents {"text_block-6-261074_string":"u003cdivu003e-------
LOCATION...19.6N 92.1W
ABOUT 105 MI...170 KM W OF CAMPECHE MEXICO
ABOUT 180 MI...290 KM ENE OF COATZACOALCOS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES



u0026nbsp;u003cbru003eu003c/divu003e"} /--> <!-- wp:oxygen-vsb/ovsb-section-w-text {"headline-4-253470_string":"WATCHES AND WARNINGS","text_block-3-253470_string":"
WHAT'S NEW:

None.

SUMMARY OF ALERTS:



A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
- Campeche to Puerto de Veracruz

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the next within 24 to 36 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. "} /--> <!-- wp:oxygen-vsb/ovsb-section-w-text {"headline-4-253470_string":"STORM HAZARDS","text_block-3-253470_string":" Key messages for Tropical Depression Three can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3, WMO header WTNT43 KNHC, and on the web at https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT3.shtml RAINFALL: [TOP] Tropical Depression Three is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 10 to 20 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 25 inches over parts of the Mexican states of Tabasco, Veracruz, and Campeche. The depression is also expected to produce total rain accumulations of 10 to 15 inches over northern Chiapas and other Mexican states, Quintana Roo and Yucatan. Additional rainfall of 10 to 15 inches, with isolated amounts of 25 inches is expected along the Pacific coasts of Chiapas, Guatemala, and El Salvador. Some of these Pacific locations received 20 inches of rain over the weekend, and storm total amounts of 35 inches are possible. Rainfall in all of these areas may produce life-threatening flash floods and mudslides. WIND: [TOP] Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the coast within the warning area tonight. "} /--> <!-- wp:oxygen-vsb/ovsb-section-w-text {"headline-4-253470_string":"NEXT ADVISORY","text_block-3-253470_string":"
Next intermediate advisory at 700 AM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Stewart

"} /--><!-- wp:oxygen-vsb/ovsb-table-of-contents {"text_block-6-261074_string":"u003cdivu003e
LOCATION...19.6N 91.9W
ABOUT 95 MI...150 KM WSW OF CAMPECHE MEXICO
ABOUT 190 MI...305 KM ENE OF COATZACOALCOS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES



u0026nbsp;u003cbru003eu003c/divu003e"} /--> <!-- wp:oxygen-vsb/ovsb-section-w-text {"headline-4-253470_string":"WATCHES AND WARNINGS","text_block-3-253470_string":"
WHAT'S NEW:

None.

SUMMARY OF ALERTS:



A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
- Campeche to Puerto de Veracruz

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. "} /--> <!-- wp:oxygen-vsb/ovsb-section-w-text {"headline-4-253470_string":"STORM HAZARDS","text_block-3-253470_string":" Key messages for Tropical Depression Three can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3, WMO header WTNT43 KNHC, and on the web at https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT3.shtml RAINFALL: [TOP] Tropical Depression Three is expected to produce rain accumulations of 10 to 15 inches over parts of the Mexican states of Tabasco and Veracruz, portions of Guatemala and the Yucatan Peninsula. This system is also expected to produce rain accumulations of 5 to 10 inches over parts of El Salvador and Honduras. Isolated maximum rainfall amounts of 20 inches are possible in the Mexican states of Tabasco, Veracruz, Chiapas and portions of Guatemala. This rainfall may produce life-threatening flash floods and mudslides. WIND: [TOP] Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the coast within the warning area Tuesday night. "} /--> <!-- wp:oxygen-vsb/ovsb-section-w-text {"headline-4-253470_string":"NEXT ADVISORY","text_block-3-253470_string":"
Next intermediate advisory at 100 AM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 400 AM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Beven

"} /-->

The third tropical system of the year formed Monday, which was ironically the first day of an already busy 2020 Atlantic Hurricane Season.

The National Hurricane Center began issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Three late Monday afternoon. Radar and satellite imagery were used to identify the center of circulation near the west coast of the Yucatan Peninsula, where pockets of showers and thunderstorms were rotating around it across much of Central America and southeast sections of Mexico.

As of the 5 pm EDT advisory, Tropical Depression Three was moving west-northwest at 7 mph and expected to move over the warm waters of the Bay of Campeche overnight. When it does, environmental conditions are expected to be favorable to support further intensification, and the system is likely to become a tropical storm Tuesday.

A Tropical Storm Warning was issued from Campeche to Puerto de Veracruz, Mexico with the expectation that tropical storm condition would arrive within 36 hours.

The long range forecast for what will likely become a tropical storm named Cristobal (krees-TOH-bahl) is complicated. Senior Hurricane Specialist Dan Brown said both the track and intensity forecasts are “of quite low confidence” in his notes from the Monday afternoon advisory. He outlined two potential scenarios that could play out during the latter half of the week.

One scenario, which is largely what the official forecast is based upon, keeps the storm mostly over water before it turns north-northeast and moves into the central Gulf of Mexico. The other scenario, which forecaster Brown says is “certainly possible”, is that the storm makes a southward loop over land and dissipates entirely due to the mountainous terrain of Mexico. However, in this scenario, another area of spin is noted by forecast models to be developing over the south-central Gulf of Mexico later in this week, and this could spawn a new tropical system.

Regardless of further development or which scenario plays out, residents of all Gulf Coast states in hurricane prone areas from Texas to Florida are encouraged to stay informed of the latest forecasts on Tropical Depression Three. Also, heavy rainfall will likely continue across portions of Central America over the next few days, which could cause more flash flooding.

If Cristobal forms Tuesday, it will become the earliest “C” storm on record in the Atlantic Basin. Tropical Storm Colin currently holds that record, forming on June 5, 2016 in nearly the same location Tropical Depression Three is presently. Tropical Storm Colin raced across Florida two days later, producing heavy rain and flooding in and around the Tampa metro area, and across portions of North Florida.

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(352) 392-5551

UF Media Properties

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PO Box 118400

Gainesville, FL 32611

 

(352) 392-5551

© 2019 UF College of Journalism and Communications 
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