For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Dorian, located east of Melbourne, Florida. The National
Hurricane Center is also issuing advisories on recently upgraded
Tropical Storm Fernand, located over the southwestern Gulf of
Mexico, and on recently formed Tropical Depression Eight, located
several hundred miles west-northwest of the Cabo Verde Islands.
1. A trough of low pressure, located just west of Bermuda, is producing
disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some development of this
disturbance is possible, and a tropical depression could form
during the next couple of days as the disturbance moves northeast,
away from Bermuda. Afterward, upper-level winds are forecast to
become less favorable for tropical cyclone formation. Interests in
Bermuda should monitor the progress of this system, and areas of
heavy rainfall are likely.
Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.
2. A tropical wave is forecast to emerge over the far eastern tropical
Atlantic between Africa and the Cabo Verde Islands within the next
day or so. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive
for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form late
this week or over the weekend while the system moves westward to
Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.
Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Eight are issued under WMO
header WTNT33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT3.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Eight are issued under
WMO header WTNT23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT3.