Shower activity associated with a tropical wave over the eastern
Caribbean Sea is disorganized and limited. This system is expected
to move west-northwestward across the Caribbean Sea and the Greater
Antilles during the next few days bringing locally heavy rainfall
and possibly some flooding across portions of these islands. Little
or no development of this disturbance is anticipated during the
next couple of days. However, conditions could be a little more
conducive for tropical cyclone formation when the system reaches the
the Florida Straits or the Bahamas over the weekend.

Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.

Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Forecaster Avila